[
 {
  "id": 1,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "88%",
  "num": 88,
  "stat": "88% of organizations regularly use AI in at least one business function.",
  "counts": "Survey respondents (mostly larger companies worldwide) answering for their organization; any regular use in any one function counts.",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "section 'AI use continues to broaden but remains primarily in pilot phases', Exhibit 1",
  "quote": "88 percent report regular AI use in at least one business function, compared with 78 percent a year ago",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as the share of surveyed organizations using AI somewhere; not the share of all businesses."
 },
 {
  "id": 2,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "79%",
  "num": 79,
  "stat": "79% of organizations regularly use generative AI in at least one business function.",
  "counts": "Same McKinsey respondents; generative AI only.",
  "src": "Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI",
  "doc": "AI Index Report 2026, chapter 4 (Economy)",
  "date": "2026-04",
  "sample": "reproduces McKinsey's 2025 survey of 1,993 respondents; self-reported, directional",
  "place": "Figure 4.3.1, 'Share of respondents who say their organization uses AI in at least one function, 2017-25'",
  "quote": "79% of respondents reporting that their organizations regularly use generative AI in at least one business function, compared to 71% in 2024",
  "url": "https://hai.stanford.edu/assets/files/ai_index_report_2026_chapter_4_economy.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote for large organizations; it is McKinsey's number reproduced by Stanford."
 },
 {
  "id": 3,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "19.8%",
  "num": 19.8,
  "stat": "19.8% of all U.S. businesses used AI in any business function in the two weeks before 3 May 2026.",
  "counts": "A nationally representative sample of every size of U.S. business, asked about the last two weeks. The strictest measure on this page.",
  "src": "U.S. Census Bureau",
  "doc": "Large Firms With at Least 20 Employees Biggest AI Users (BTOS)",
  "date": "2026-05-26",
  "sample": "Business Trends and Outlook Survey, biweekly, nationally representative of U.S. businesses; data 14 Dec 2025 to 3 May 2026",
  "place": "section 'AI Trends Across Sectors'",
  "quote": "the AI use rates in the Information (39.7%) and Finance and Insurance (33.9%) sectors were both higher than the national rate (19.8%)",
  "url": "https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2026/05/ai-use-businesses.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as the share of all U.S. businesses using AI at all. Compare with 88% above and you see why 'adoption' headlines disagree."
 },
 {
  "id": 4,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "37%",
  "num": 37,
  "stat": "37% of U.S. firms with at least 250 employees reported using AI; under 20% of firms with four or fewer employees did.",
  "counts": "Same Census survey, split by firm size.",
  "src": "U.S. Census Bureau",
  "doc": "Large Firms With at Least 20 Employees Biggest AI Users (BTOS)",
  "date": "2026-05-26",
  "sample": "Business Trends and Outlook Survey, biweekly, nationally representative of U.S. businesses; data 14 Dec 2025 to 3 May 2026",
  "place": "section 'U.S. Business AI Use', Figure 2",
  "quote": "37% of firms with at least 250 employees reported using AI in their business operations",
  "url": "https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2026/05/ai-use-businesses.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; the size gap is the story for small businesses."
 },
 {
  "id": 5,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "18%",
  "num": 18,
  "stat": "18% of U.S. firms used AI in a business function between November 2025 and January 2026, or 32% when weighted by how many people they employ.",
  "counts": "Census AI supplement, nationally representative; the second figure counts workers rather than firms.",
  "src": "U.S. Census Bureau",
  "doc": "The Microstructure of AI Diffusion (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "date": "2026-04-15",
  "sample": "BTOS AI supplement, nationally representative, reference period Nov 2025 to Jan 2026 (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "place": "abstract",
  "quote": "18% of firms used AI in a business function, rising to 32% on an employment-weighted basis; adoption is expected to reach 22% within six months",
  "url": "https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2026/adrm/CES-WP-26-25.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; say which of the two you mean."
 },
 {
  "id": 6,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "58%",
  "num": 58,
  "stat": "58% of U.S. small businesses say they use generative AI, up from 40% in 2024 and 23% in 2023.",
  "counts": "Small businesses (under 250 employees) self-identifying as generative AI users; a chatbot for emails counts.",
  "src": "U.S. Chamber of Commerce (with Teneo Research)",
  "doc": "Empowering Small Business: The Impact of Technology on U.S. Small Business, fourth edition",
  "date": "2025-08-18",
  "sample": "3,870 U.S. small businesses with fewer than 250 employees, surveyed online 6 to 26 June 2025",
  "place": "Introduction, key findings list",
  "quote": "58% of small businesses self-identified that they use generative AI—up from 40% in 2024 and more than double compared to 2023 (23%)",
  "url": "https://www.uschamber.com/assets/documents/20251621-CTEC-Empowering-Small-Business-Report-2025-v1-r10-Digital-FINAL.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as self-reported generative AI use by small businesses. It is three times the Census figure because it counts any use of a chatbot, not AI in a business function."
 },
 {
  "id": 7,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "52%",
  "num": 52,
  "stat": "52% of U.S. employees use AI at work at least a few times a year; 30% a few times a week or more; 15% daily.",
  "counts": "Individual workers, not companies.",
  "src": "Gallup",
  "doc": "Global Indicator: Artificial Intelligence (workplace AI adoption tracker)",
  "date": "2026-05",
  "sample": "Gallup Panel, probability-based random sample of U.S. adults employed full or part time; figures as of May 2026",
  "place": "'What Percentage of Employees Use AI at Work?'",
  "quote": "As of May 2026, 15% of U.S. employees use AI daily in their role, 30% use it a few times a week or more, and 52% use it a few times a year or more",
  "url": "https://www.gallup.com/699797/indicator-artificial-intelligence.aspx",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; use the 30% for 'regular' use."
 },
 {
  "id": 8,
  "cat": "A. AI use overall",
  "value": "47%",
  "num": 47,
  "stat": "47% of U.S. employees say their organization has integrated AI tools; only 25% say it has communicated a clear plan for doing so.",
  "counts": "Employees reporting on their own employer.",
  "src": "Gallup",
  "doc": "Global Indicator: Artificial Intelligence (workplace AI adoption tracker)",
  "date": "2026-05",
  "sample": "Gallup Panel, probability-based random sample of U.S. adults employed full or part time; figures as of May 2026",
  "place": "'What Percentage of Companies Have Integrated AI?' and 'Do Most Companies Have a Clear AI Strategy?'",
  "quote": "As of May 2026, 47% of U.S. employees say their organization has integrated AI technology or tools to improve organizational practices",
  "url": "https://www.gallup.com/699797/indicator-artificial-intelligence.aspx",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as what employees see, not what companies report."
 },
 {
  "id": 9,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "62%",
  "num": 62,
  "stat": "62% of organizations are at least experimenting with AI agents.",
  "counts": "Respondents whose organization is experimenting with agents anywhere (39%) plus those scaling them somewhere (23%).",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "Key findings, item 2, and Exhibit 2",
  "quote": "Sixty-two percent of survey respondents say their organizations are at least experimenting with AI agents",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as 'trying agents', never as 'using agents'."
 },
 {
  "id": 10,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "23%",
  "num": 23,
  "stat": "23% of organizations are scaling an AI agent system somewhere in the company; another 39% are experimenting.",
  "counts": "'Scaling' means expanding the deployment within at least one business function. Most who scale do so in one or two functions only.",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "section 'Many organizations are already experimenting with AI agents', Exhibit 2",
  "quote": "Twenty-three percent of respondents report their organizations are scaling an agentic AI system somewhere in their enterprises (that is, expanding the deployment and adoption of the technology within a least one business function), and an additional 39 percent say they have begun experimenting with AI agents",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "The safest 'real use' figure for large organizations."
 },
 {
  "id": 11,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "10%",
  "num": 10,
  "stat": "In any single business function, no more than 10% of organizations are scaling AI agents.",
  "counts": "The same survey read department by department.",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "same section, Exhibit 2",
  "quote": "In any given business function, no more than 10 percent of respondents say their organizations are scaling AI agents",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "The number to keep in mind when someone says 'everyone has agents now'."
 },
 {
  "id": 12,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "69%",
  "num": 69,
  "stat": "In IT, the function with the most agent activity, 69% of organizations report no agent use at all; in knowledge management, 66%.",
  "counts": "Stanford's reading of McKinsey's function-by-function data; 'scaled use was in the single digits for nearly all functions'.",
  "src": "Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI",
  "doc": "AI Index Report 2026, chapter 4 (Economy)",
  "date": "2026-04",
  "sample": "reproduces McKinsey's 2025 survey of 1,993 respondents; self-reported, directional",
  "place": "Figure 4.3.7, 'Stage of AI agent use by business function, 2025'",
  "quote": "Even in functions with the most activity, including IT and knowledge management, about two-thirds or more of respondents reported no use",
  "url": "https://hai.stanford.edu/assets/files/ai_index_report_2026_chapter_4_economy.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; note it is 2025 data."
 },
 {
  "id": 13,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "24%",
  "num": 24,
  "stat": "In the technology sector, scaled agent use reaches 24% in software engineering, 22% in IT and 21% in service operations.",
  "counts": "Technology companies only, the industry furthest ahead.",
  "src": "Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI",
  "doc": "AI Index Report 2026, chapter 4 (Economy)",
  "date": "2026-04",
  "sample": "reproduces McKinsey's 2025 survey of 1,993 respondents; self-reported, directional",
  "place": "Figure 4.3.8",
  "quote": "the technology sector had comparatively higher rates of scaled agent use in software engineering (24%), IT (22%), and service operations (21%)",
  "url": "https://hai.stanford.edu/assets/files/ai_index_report_2026_chapter_4_economy.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as the ceiling, not the norm."
 },
 {
  "id": 14,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "79%",
  "num": 79,
  "stat": "79% of U.S. executives say AI agents are already being adopted in their companies.",
  "counts": "Any adoption at all, including agent features built into software they already use.",
  "src": "PwC",
  "doc": "PwC's AI Agent Survey",
  "date": "2025-05",
  "sample": "308 U.S. executives (C-suite 33%, VP 13%, director 54%), surveyed 22 to 28 April 2025",
  "place": "'Key trends about AI agents in the enterprise'",
  "quote": "Seventy-nine percent say AI agents are already being adopted in their companies",
  "url": "https://www.pwc.com/us/en/tech-effect/ai-analytics/ai-agent-survey.html",
  "verdict": "Quote it as 'some adoption', and read PwC's own caveat: broad adoption does not mean deep impact."
 },
 {
  "id": 15,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "35%",
  "num": 35,
  "stat": "Of companies adopting agents, 35% say they do so broadly and 17% say agents are fully adopted in almost all workflows; 18% of companies are not using agents at all.",
  "counts": "PwC's respondents describing depth of adoption.",
  "src": "PwC",
  "doc": "PwC's AI Agent Survey",
  "date": "2025-05",
  "sample": "308 U.S. executives (C-suite 33%, VP 13%, director 54%), surveyed 22 to 28 April 2025",
  "place": "section '1. Budgets are surging' (the 35% and 17%) and section '4. Only a few businesses have their eyes on the prize' (the 18%)",
  "quote": "Of those companies adopting AI agents, 35% say they're doing so broadly, while another 17% say AI agents are being fully adopted in almost all workflows and functions",
  "url": "https://www.pwc.com/us/en/tech-effect/ai-analytics/ai-agent-survey.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote with the base ('of those adopting')."
 },
 {
  "id": 16,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "14%",
  "num": 14,
  "stat": "14% of large organizations have implemented AI agents (12% at partial scale, 2% at full scale); 23% have pilots; 61% are preparing or exploring.",
  "counts": "Large organizations, director level and above; Capgemini re-checked 900 of 1,500 answers to make sure respondents meant agents, not assistants.",
  "src": "Capgemini Research Institute",
  "doc": "Rise of agentic AI: How trust is the key to human-AI collaboration",
  "date": "2025-07-16",
  "sample": "1,500 leaders at director level and above, 14 countries, large organizations; 900 re-confirmed their adoption answer",
  "place": "Executive summary",
  "quote": "Already, 14% of organizations have implemented AI agents at partial (12%) or full scale (2%) and nearly one-quarter (23%) have launched pilots, while another 61% are preparing for or exploring deployment",
  "url": "https://www.capgemini.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Final-Web-Version-Report-AI-Agents.pdf",
  "verdict": "The most careful adoption number on this page: the survey checked what respondents meant by 'agent'."
 },
 {
  "id": 17,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "52%",
  "num": 52,
  "stat": "52% of executives whose companies already run generative AI in production say their organization is actively using AI agents; 39% say it has launched more than ten.",
  "counts": "Only enterprises that already have generative AI in production were surveyed, so this is a ceiling for the keenest adopters.",
  "src": "Google Cloud (with National Research Group)",
  "doc": "The ROI of AI 2025 (press release)",
  "date": "2025-09-04",
  "sample": "3,466 senior leaders of enterprises across 24 countries, all with generative AI already deployed",
  "place": "'The Rise of AI Agents', key findings",
  "quote": "More than half (52%) of executives report their organization is actively using AI agents, with 39% reporting their company has launched more than ten",
  "url": "https://www.googlecloudpresscorner.com/2025-09-04-Google-Cloud-Study-Reveals-52-of-Executives-Say-Their-Organizations-Have-Deployed-AI-Agents,-Unlocking-a-New-Wave-of-Business-Value,1",
  "verdict": "Quote it with the sample: companies already running generative AI."
 },
 {
  "id": 18,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "53%",
  "num": 53,
  "stat": "53% of large U.S. companies are deploying AI agents (55% the quarter before); the share orchestrating several agents across a workflow doubled from 9% to 18%.",
  "counts": "U.S. companies with revenue of 1 billion dollars or more.",
  "src": "KPMG",
  "doc": "AI Quarterly Pulse Survey, Q2 2026 (U.S.)",
  "date": "2026-06",
  "sample": "204 U.S. C-suite and business leaders at organizations with annual revenue of 1 billion dollars or more, 28 April to 25 May 2026",
  "place": "'AI agent deployment and trends'",
  "quote": "AI agent deployment holds steady at 53% Compared to last quarter 55%",
  "url": "https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/corporate-communications/pdf/2026/AIPulseSurvey_Q2_FINAL.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote for big U.S. companies; deployment, not scale."
 },
 {
  "id": 19,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "61%",
  "num": 61,
  "stat": "61% of CEOs say they are actively adopting AI agents and preparing to implement them at scale.",
  "counts": "CEOs describing intent and early adoption in early 2025.",
  "src": "IBM Institute for Business Value",
  "doc": "2025 CEO Study (press release)",
  "date": "2025-05-06",
  "sample": "2,000 CEOs from 33 countries and 24 industries, February to April 2025, with Oxford Economics",
  "place": "opening paragraphs",
  "quote": "61% confirm they are actively adopting AI agents today and preparing to implement them at scale",
  "url": "https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-05-06-ibm-study-ceos-double-down-on-ai-while-navigating-enterprise-hurdles",
  "verdict": "Quote as intent plus early adoption; 'preparing to' is doing work in that sentence."
 },
 {
  "id": 20,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "57%",
  "num": 57,
  "stat": "57% of professionals who build AI agents have agents in production; 30% are developing them with plans to deploy.",
  "counts": "People who build agents for a living, so a self-selected group; up from 51% a year earlier.",
  "src": "LangChain",
  "doc": "State of Agent Engineering",
  "date": "2026-06-12 (page date when opened; survey fielded late 2025)",
  "sample": "over 1,300 professionals building AI agents: engineers, product managers, business leaders and executives",
  "place": "'Large enterprises are leading adoption'",
  "quote": "More than half of respondents surveyed (57.3%) now have agents running in production environments, with another 30.4% actively developing agents with concrete plans to deploy them",
  "url": "https://www.langchain.com/state-of-agent-engineering",
  "verdict": "Quote only with the sample: agent builders, not businesses in general."
 },
 {
  "id": 21,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "67%",
  "num": 67,
  "stat": "Among organizations with more than 10,000 employees, 67% of agent builders have agents in production, against 50% at organizations under 100 employees.",
  "counts": "Same LangChain survey split by organization size.",
  "src": "LangChain",
  "doc": "State of Agent Engineering",
  "date": "2026-06-12 (page date when opened; survey fielded late 2025)",
  "sample": "over 1,300 professionals building AI agents: engineers, product managers, business leaders and executives",
  "place": "'What changes at scale?'",
  "quote": "Of 10k+ size orgs, 67% had agents in production, with 24% actively developing with plans for production— versus for <100 size orgs, 50% had agents in production",
  "url": "https://www.langchain.com/state-of-agent-engineering",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as the size gap among builders."
 },
 {
  "id": 22,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "16%",
  "num": 16,
  "stat": "Only 16% of enterprise AI deployments (27% at startups) qualify as true agents that plan, act, observe and adapt; the rest are fixed-sequence workflows around a model call.",
  "counts": "Enterprise AI decision-makers describing what they have actually built.",
  "src": "Menlo Ventures",
  "doc": "2025: The State of Generative AI in the Enterprise",
  "date": "2025-12-09",
  "sample": "495 U.S. enterprise AI decision-makers at companies actively using AI tools, 7 to 25 November 2025",
  "place": "'AI Infrastructure: A Modern AI Stack Still in Development'",
  "quote": "Only 16% of enterprise and 27% of startup deployments qualify as true agents—systems where an LLM plans and executes actions, observes feedback, and adapts its behavior—while most are still built around fixed-sequence or routing-based workflows wrapped around a single model call",
  "url": "https://menlovc.com/perspective/2025-the-state-of-generative-ai-in-the-enterprise/",
  "verdict": "The best answer to 'but everyone says they have agents'."
 },
 {
  "id": 23,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "74%",
  "num": 74,
  "stat": "Close to three-quarters of companies plan to deploy agentic AI within two years, but only 21% have a mature model for governing agents.",
  "counts": "Leaders directly involved in their company's AI work, surveyed in late 2025.",
  "src": "Deloitte AI Institute",
  "doc": "The State of AI in the Enterprise 2026: The Untapped Edge (press release and report page)",
  "date": "2026-01-21",
  "sample": "3,235 business and IT leaders across 24 countries and six industries, August to September 2025",
  "place": "press release, 'For Agentic AI, governance and growth go hand in hand'",
  "quote": "Agentic AI is poised for growth with close to three-quarters of companies planning to deploy Agentic AI within two years. Yet only 21% of those companies report having a mature model for agent governance",
  "url": "https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/about/press-room/state-of-ai-report-2026.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as a plan, not as use."
 },
 {
  "id": 24,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "19%",
  "num": 19,
  "stat": "In a January 2025 Gartner poll, 19% of organizations had made significant investments in agentic AI, 42% conservative investments, 8% none, and 31% were waiting or unsure.",
  "counts": "Attendees of a Gartner webinar, a self-selected audience of 3,412.",
  "src": "Gartner",
  "doc": "Gartner press release, 25 June 2025",
  "date": "2025-06-25",
  "sample": "3,412 webinar attendees polled in January 2025",
  "place": "third paragraph",
  "quote": "According to a January 2025 Gartner poll of 3,412 webinar attendees, 19% said their organization had made significant investments in agentic AI, 42% had made conservative investments, 8% no investments, with the remaining 31% taking a wait and see approach or are unsure",
  "url": "https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-06-25-gartner-predicts-over-40-percent-of-agentic-ai-projects-will-be-canceled-by-end-of-2027",
  "verdict": "Quote with the sample; webinar attendees lean interested."
 },
 {
  "id": 25,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "16%",
  "num": 16,
  "stat": "16% of the AI users Microsoft surveyed are 'Frontier Professionals': they use agents for multi-step work, redesign workflows and share AI practices.",
  "counts": "Workers who already use AI at work, in 10 countries.",
  "src": "Microsoft WorkLab",
  "doc": "2026 Work Trend Index Annual Report",
  "date": "2026-05-05",
  "sample": "20,000 knowledge workers who use AI at work, 10 countries, fielded by Edelman Data x Intelligence from 18 February 2026 to 7 April 2026 per the methodology section (two chart captions on the same page say to 20 April 2026), plus Microsoft 365 telemetry",
  "place": "'AI lifts the ceiling on individual potential'",
  "quote": "They represent a small but disproportionately valuable group: 16% of the AI users we surveyed",
  "url": "https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/work-trend-index/agents-human-agency-and-the-opportunity-for-every-organization",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as the advanced-user share among AI users."
 },
 {
  "id": 26,
  "cat": "B. AI agents",
  "value": "15x",
  "num": 15,
  "stat": "Agents in the Microsoft 365 ecosystem increased 15 times year over year, and 18 times in large enterprises.",
  "counts": "Microsoft's own product telemetry; a growth multiple from a small base, not a share of companies.",
  "src": "Microsoft WorkLab",
  "doc": "2026 Work Trend Index Annual Report (key takeaways)",
  "date": "2026-05-05",
  "sample": "Microsoft 365 telemetry",
  "place": "key takeaway 5",
  "quote": "Agents in the Microsoft 365 ecosystem have increased 15x year over year and 18x in large enterprises",
  "url": "https://assets-c4akfrf5b4d3f4b7.z01.azurefd.net/assets/2026/05/2026_Work_Trend_Index_Annual_Report_Key_Takeaways_050526-4_69fa647c6d8f1.pdf",
  "verdict": "Quote as a growth multiple only; the base is not published."
 },
 {
  "id": 27,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "26.5%",
  "num": 26.5,
  "stat": "Customer service is the most common primary agent use case (26.5%), then research and data analysis (24.4%) and internal workflow automation (18%).",
  "counts": "Agent builders naming one primary use case each.",
  "src": "LangChain",
  "doc": "State of Agent Engineering",
  "date": "2026-06-12 (page date when opened; survey fielded late 2025)",
  "sample": "over 1,300 professionals building AI agents: engineers, product managers, business leaders and executives",
  "place": "'Leading agent use cases'",
  "quote": "Customer service emerged as the most common agent use case (26.5%), with research & data analysis close behind (24.4%)",
  "url": "https://www.langchain.com/state-of-agent-engineering",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote among builders."
 },
 {
  "id": 28,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "49%",
  "num": 49,
  "stat": "Among enterprises running agents, the most common uses are customer service and experience (49%), marketing (46%), security operations (46%) and tech support (45%).",
  "counts": "Executives at companies with generative AI in production.",
  "src": "Google Cloud (with National Research Group)",
  "doc": "The ROI of AI 2025 (press release)",
  "date": "2025-09-04",
  "sample": "3,466 senior leaders of enterprises across 24 countries, all with generative AI already deployed",
  "place": "'Applications of Agentic AI'",
  "quote": "The most common cross-industry applications for AI agents reported in the study were customer service and experience (49%), marketing (46%), security operations and cybersecurity (46%), and tech support (45%)",
  "url": "https://www.googlecloudpresscorner.com/2025-09-04-Google-Cloud-Study-Reveals-52-of-Executives-Say-Their-Organizations-Have-Deployed-AI-Agents,-Unlocking-a-New-Wave-of-Business-Value,1",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote with the sample."
 },
 {
  "id": 29,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "IT",
  "num": null,
  "stat": "Agent use is most commonly reported in IT and knowledge management, for service-desk work and deep research.",
  "counts": "Function-level reports from the McKinsey survey.",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "section 'Many organizations are already experimenting with AI agents', Exhibit 3",
  "quote": "agent use is most commonly reported in IT and knowledge management, where agentic use cases such as service-desk management in IT and deep research in knowledge management have quickly developed",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 30,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "52%",
  "num": 52,
  "stat": "Among U.S. firms that use AI, the most common functions are sales and marketing (52%), strategy and business development (45%) and IT (41%); 57% use AI in three or fewer functions.",
  "counts": "All sizes of U.S. business, nationally representative.",
  "src": "U.S. Census Bureau",
  "doc": "The Microstructure of AI Diffusion (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "date": "2026-04-15",
  "sample": "BTOS AI supplement, nationally representative, reference period Nov 2025 to Jan 2026 (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "place": "abstract",
  "quote": "57% of users integrate AI in three or fewer business functions, most commonly Sales and Marketing (52%), Strategy and Business Development (45%), and IT (41%)",
  "url": "https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2026/adrm/CES-WP-26-25.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; the best function data for ordinary businesses."
 },
 {
  "id": 31,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "66%",
  "num": 66,
  "stat": "Two-thirds of U.S. firms using AI (66%) use it only to help people with tasks, not to replace them.",
  "counts": "Census AI supplement; 'augment' means AI assists a worker's task.",
  "src": "U.S. Census Bureau",
  "doc": "The Microstructure of AI Diffusion (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "date": "2026-04-15",
  "sample": "BTOS AI supplement, nationally representative, reference period Nov 2025 to Jan 2026 (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "place": "abstract",
  "quote": "Most users (66%) rely on AI solely to augment tasks",
  "url": "https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2026/adrm/CES-WP-26-25.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 32,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "52%",
  "num": 52,
  "stat": "On Claude.ai, 52% of conversations are collaborative (the person learns, iterates or asks for feedback) and 45% are handed over entirely; through the API, business use is mostly handed over.",
  "counts": "Anthropic's own usage data from November 2025.",
  "src": "Anthropic",
  "doc": "Anthropic Economic Index, January 2026 report (Economic primitives)",
  "date": "2026-01-15",
  "sample": "privacy-preserving samples of Claude.ai conversations and first-party API traffic; usage data, not a survey",
  "place": "'What has changed since our last report', item 2",
  "quote": "The share of conversations classified as augmented jumped 5pp to 52% and the share deemed automated fell 4pp to 45%",
  "url": "https://www.anthropic.com/research/anthropic-economic-index-january-2026-report",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as Claude usage, not as all AI."
 },
 {
  "id": 33,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "77%",
  "num": 77,
  "stat": "77% of business use of Claude through the API follows automation patterns, mostly full delegation of a task, against about 50% for people using Claude.ai.",
  "counts": "Anthropic first-party API traffic versus consumer conversations.",
  "src": "Anthropic",
  "doc": "Anthropic Economic Index, September 2025 report",
  "date": "2025-09-15",
  "sample": "privacy-preserving samples of Claude.ai conversations and first-party API traffic; usage data, not a survey",
  "place": "'Systematic enterprise deployment of AI'",
  "quote": "1P API usage is automation dominant: 77% of business uses involve automation usage patterns, compared to about 50% for Claude.ai users",
  "url": "https://www.anthropic.com/research/anthropic-economic-index-september-2025-report",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; businesses delegate, people collaborate."
 },
 {
  "id": 34,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "39%",
  "num": 39,
  "stat": "The share of Claude.ai conversations where the person hands over a whole task rose from 27% to 39% in eight months of 2025.",
  "counts": "Anthropic usage data, late 2024 to August 2025.",
  "src": "Anthropic",
  "doc": "Anthropic Economic Index, September 2025 report",
  "date": "2025-09-15",
  "sample": "privacy-preserving samples of Claude.ai conversations and first-party API traffic; usage data, not a survey",
  "place": "'Changing patterns of usage on Claude.ai over time'",
  "quote": "\"Directive\" conversations, where users delegate complete tasks to Claude, jumped from 27% to 39%",
  "url": "https://www.anthropic.com/research/anthropic-economic-index-september-2025-report",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; the January 2026 report notes the share then fell back to 32%."
 },
 {
  "id": 35,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "49%",
  "num": 49,
  "stat": "About 49% of occupations have seen at least a quarter of their tasks performed with Claude.",
  "counts": "Anthropic usage data mapped to the U.S. O*NET task list, February 2026.",
  "src": "Anthropic",
  "doc": "Anthropic Economic Index, March 2026 report (Learning curves)",
  "date": "2026-03-24",
  "sample": "privacy-preserving samples of Claude.ai conversations and first-party API traffic; usage data, not a survey",
  "place": "'What has changed since our last report'",
  "quote": "About 49% of jobs have seen at least a quarter of their tasks performed using Claude",
  "url": "https://www.anthropic.com/research/economic-index-march-2026-report",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; it measures tasks touched, not jobs replaced."
 },
 {
  "id": 36,
  "cat": "C. What agents do",
  "value": "49%",
  "num": 49,
  "stat": "49% of Microsoft 365 Copilot conversations support cognitive work: analyzing, solving problems, evaluating, thinking creatively.",
  "counts": "Analysis of more than 100,000 Copilot chats, one week in February 2026.",
  "src": "Microsoft WorkLab",
  "doc": "2026 Work Trend Index Annual Report",
  "date": "2026-05-05",
  "sample": "20,000 knowledge workers who use AI at work, 10 countries, fielded by Edelman Data x Intelligence from 18 February 2026 to 7 April 2026 per the methodology section (two chart captions on the same page say to 20 April 2026), plus Microsoft 365 telemetry",
  "place": "'AI lifts the ceiling on individual potential'",
  "quote": "49% of all conversations support cognitive work—helping workers analyze information, solve problems, evaluate, and think creatively",
  "url": "https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/work-trend-index/agents-human-agency-and-the-opportunity-for-every-organization",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as Copilot usage."
 },
 {
  "id": 37,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "39%",
  "num": 39,
  "stat": "39% of organizations attribute any earnings (EBIT) impact to AI, and most of those say it is under 5% of earnings.",
  "counts": "Self-reported enterprise-level earnings impact. EBIT is profit before interest and tax.",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "section 'AI as a catalyst for innovation', Exhibit 6",
  "quote": "Thirty-nine percent of respondents attribute any level of EBIT impact to AI, and most of those respondents say that less than 5 percent of their organization's EBIT is attributable to AI use",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "The honest 'is it paying off' number for large companies."
 },
 {
  "id": 38,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "6%",
  "num": 6,
  "stat": "About 6% of organizations are 'AI high performers': they attribute at least 5% of earnings to AI and call the value significant.",
  "counts": "McKinsey's definition, applied to its own respondents.",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "section 'Organizations with ambitious AI agendas are seeing the most benefit'",
  "quote": "our definition of AI high performers, representing about 6 percent of respondents",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 39,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "25%",
  "num": 25,
  "stat": "CEOs say only 25% of their AI initiatives delivered the expected return over the last few years, and only 16% scaled company-wide.",
  "counts": "CEOs looking back, early 2025.",
  "src": "IBM Institute for Business Value",
  "doc": "2025 CEO Study (press release)",
  "date": "2025-05-06",
  "sample": "2,000 CEOs from 33 countries and 24 industries, February to April 2025, with Oxford Economics",
  "place": "'CEOs face competing pressures of short-term ROI and long-term innovation'",
  "quote": "Surveyed CEOs report that only 25% of AI initiatives have delivered expected ROI over the last few years, and only 16% have scaled enterprise wide",
  "url": "https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-05-06-ibm-study-ceos-double-down-on-ai-while-navigating-enterprise-hurdles",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 40,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "7%",
  "num": 7,
  "stat": "Only 7% of senior leaders worldwide report an established return on their AI investment; 24% face pressure to prove value to investors.",
  "counts": "Large organizations, 20 countries, spring 2026.",
  "src": "KPMG",
  "doc": "Global AI Pulse: Q2 2026 (press release)",
  "date": "2026-06-24",
  "sample": "2,145 C-suite and senior business leaders across 20 countries, 28 April to 25 May 2026, at organizations with annual revenue above 50 million dollars (the press release's About section sets a 100 million floor for its ten largest markets)",
  "place": "'AI momentum builds as leaders prioritize people to unlock value'",
  "quote": "turning that momentum into measurable returns remains concentrated to only 7 percent of leaders who report establishing ROI, even as nearly one in four (24 percent) face pressure to prove value to investors",
  "url": "https://kpmg.com/xx/en/media/press-releases/2026/06/growing-adoption-signals-progress-as-cost-visibility-and-accountability-drive-ai-value.html",
  "verdict": "The strictest return figure on this page: 'established ROI'."
 },
 {
  "id": 41,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "22%",
  "num": 22,
  "stat": "The share of organizations at the 'driving adoption' stage rose from 13% to 22% in one quarter of 2026, the biggest move on KPMG's maturity curve.",
  "counts": "Same global KPMG survey.",
  "src": "KPMG",
  "doc": "Global AI Pulse: Q2 2026 (press release)",
  "date": "2026-06-24",
  "sample": "2,145 C-suite and senior business leaders across 20 countries, 28 April to 25 May 2026, at organizations with annual revenue above 50 million dollars (the press release's About section sets a 100 million floor for its ten largest markets)",
  "place": "highlights",
  "quote": "More organizations have reached the stage where AI is part of everyday work — rising to 22 percent, up from 13 percent in Q1",
  "url": "https://kpmg.com/xx/en/media/press-releases/2026/06/growing-adoption-signals-progress-as-cost-visibility-and-accountability-drive-ai-value.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 42,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "74%",
  "num": 74,
  "stat": "74% of executives at companies running generative AI report a return within the first year; among 'agentic early adopters' 88% see a return on at least one use case.",
  "counts": "Only companies already running generative AI in production; 'ROI on at least one use case' is a low bar.",
  "src": "Google Cloud (with National Research Group)",
  "doc": "The ROI of AI 2025 (press release)",
  "date": "2025-09-04",
  "sample": "3,466 senior leaders of enterprises across 24 countries, all with generative AI already deployed",
  "place": "'ROI and Investment Remains Strong'",
  "quote": "74% of executives report achieving ROI within the first year",
  "url": "https://www.googlecloudpresscorner.com/2025-09-04-Google-Cloud-Study-Reveals-52-of-Executives-Say-Their-Organizations-Have-Deployed-AI-Agents,-Unlocking-a-New-Wave-of-Business-Value,1",
  "verdict": "Quote it with both caveats, or it reads as the opposite of the KPMG 7%."
 },
 {
  "id": 43,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "66%",
  "num": 66,
  "stat": "Among companies adopting agents, 66% report higher productivity, 57% cost savings, 55% faster decisions and 54% better customer experience.",
  "counts": "U.S. executives at adopting companies, self-reported.",
  "src": "PwC",
  "doc": "PwC's AI Agent Survey",
  "date": "2025-05",
  "sample": "308 U.S. executives (C-suite 33%, VP 13%, director 54%), surveyed 22 to 28 April 2025",
  "place": "'2. Measurable value is here'",
  "quote": "Of those adopting AI agents, nearly two-thirds (66%) report increased productivity. Over half (57%) report cost savings, faster decision-making (55%) or improved customer experience (54%)",
  "url": "https://www.pwc.com/us/en/tech-effect/ai-analytics/ai-agent-survey.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote with the base."
 },
 {
  "id": 44,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "65%",
  "num": 65,
  "stat": "65% of employees at organizations that implemented AI say it has improved their productivity; only 14% strongly agree it has transformed how work gets done.",
  "counts": "Employees, not executives.",
  "src": "Gallup",
  "doc": "Global Indicator: Artificial Intelligence (workplace AI adoption tracker)",
  "date": "2026-05",
  "sample": "Gallup Panel, probability-based random sample of U.S. adults employed full or part time; figures as of May 2026",
  "place": "'Does AI Improve Productivity at Work?' and 'Is AI Really Changing the Way People Work?'",
  "quote": "As of May 2026, 65% of employees working in organizations that have implemented AI say it has had a positive effect on their productivity and efficiency at work",
  "url": "https://www.gallup.com/699797/indicator-artificial-intelligence.aspx",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; productivity yes, transformation rarely."
 },
 {
  "id": 45,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "75%",
  "num": 75,
  "stat": "75% of workers at OpenAI's enterprise customers say AI improved the speed or quality of their output; they report saving 40 to 60 minutes a day.",
  "counts": "9,000 workers at almost 100 companies that pay for ChatGPT Enterprise.",
  "src": "OpenAI",
  "doc": "The state of enterprise AI (2025 report)",
  "date": "2025-12-08",
  "sample": "usage data from OpenAI's business customers plus a survey of 9,000 workers across almost 100 enterprises, all paying customers",
  "place": "'Workers report measurable value from using AI'",
  "quote": "Across surveyed enterprises, 75% of workers report that using AI at work has improved either the speed or quality of their output. Workers report saving 40-60 minutes per day",
  "url": "https://openai.com/index/the-state-of-enterprise-ai-2025-report/",
  "verdict": "Quote with the sample: paying customers of the vendor doing the survey."
 },
 {
  "id": 46,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "26%",
  "num": 26,
  "stat": "Controlled studies find productivity gains of 14% to 15% in customer support, 26% in software development and 50% in marketing output, and smaller gains in work that needs deeper reasoning.",
  "counts": "Peer-reviewed and working-paper studies summarized by Stanford, each measuring one narrow task.",
  "src": "Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI",
  "doc": "AI Index Report 2026, chapter 4 (Economy)",
  "date": "2026-04",
  "sample": "studies summarized in the chapter highlights (Brynjolfsson et al., Cui et al., Ju and Aral)",
  "place": "Chapter highlights, item 9",
  "quote": "Studies report gains of 14% to 15% in customer support, 26% in software development, and 50% in marketing output. Gains are smaller in tasks requiring deeper reasoning",
  "url": "https://hai.stanford.edu/assets/files/ai_index_report_2026_chapter_4_economy.pdf",
  "verdict": "The best-measured productivity numbers available; each is one task in one setting."
 },
 {
  "id": 47,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "95%",
  "num": 95,
  "stat": "95% of organizations are getting zero return from generative AI, measured as no measurable profit-and-loss impact within about six months of a pilot.",
  "counts": "52 interviews, 153 conference survey responses and 300 public deployments, January to June 2025; the authors call the findings preliminary.",
  "src": "MIT Project NANDA",
  "doc": "The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025",
  "date": "2025-07",
  "sample": "52 organizations interviewed, 153 senior leaders surveyed at four conferences, 300 public AI initiatives reviewed, January to June 2025; preliminary findings",
  "place": "Executive summary, page 3",
  "quote": "this report uncovers a surprising result in that 95% of organizations are getting zero return",
  "url": "https://mlq.ai/media/quarterly_decks/v0.1_State_of_AI_in_Business_2025_Report.pdf",
  "verdict": "Quote it as a six-month profit-and-loss window on a small sample, never as 'AI fails 95% of the time'."
 },
 {
  "id": 48,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "5%",
  "num": 5,
  "stat": "60% of organizations evaluated enterprise-grade AI tools, 20% reached a pilot and 5% reached production; general tools like ChatGPT were piloted by over 80% and deployed by nearly 40%.",
  "counts": "Same MIT report.",
  "src": "MIT Project NANDA",
  "doc": "The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025",
  "date": "2025-07",
  "sample": "52 organizations interviewed, 153 senior leaders surveyed at four conferences, 300 public AI initiatives reviewed, January to June 2025; preliminary findings",
  "place": "Executive summary, page 3",
  "quote": "Sixty percent of organizations evaluated such tools, but only 20 percent reached pilot stage and just 5 percent reached production",
  "url": "https://mlq.ai/media/quarterly_decks/v0.1_State_of_AI_in_Business_2025_Report.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as the pilot funnel in that sample."
 },
 {
  "id": 49,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "66%",
  "num": 66,
  "stat": "66% of organizations report productivity and efficiency gains from AI; 20% report increased revenue, while 74% hope to.",
  "counts": "Leaders involved in their company's AI work, late 2025.",
  "src": "Deloitte AI Institute",
  "doc": "The State of AI in the Enterprise 2026: The Untapped Edge (press release and report page)",
  "date": "2026-01-21",
  "sample": "3,235 business and IT leaders across 24 countries and six industries, August to September 2025",
  "place": "report page, 'What does AI do for business?'",
  "quote": "Improving productivity and efficiency top the list of benefits achieved from enterprise AI adoption so far, with two-thirds (66%) of organizations reporting gains",
  "url": "https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/what-we-do/capabilities/applied-artificial-intelligence/content/state-of-ai-in-the-enterprise.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; revenue is still an aspiration for most."
 },
 {
  "id": 50,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "25%",
  "num": 25,
  "stat": "Only 25% of organizations have moved 40% or more of their AI pilots into production; 34% say they are using AI to deeply transform the business, 37% only at a surface level.",
  "counts": "Same Deloitte survey.",
  "src": "Deloitte AI Institute",
  "doc": "The State of AI in the Enterprise 2026: The Untapped Edge (press release and report page)",
  "date": "2026-01-21",
  "sample": "3,235 business and IT leaders across 24 countries and six industries, August to September 2025",
  "place": "press release, 'Bridging the pilot-production gap'",
  "quote": "only 25% of respondents have moved 40% or more of their AI pilots into production",
  "url": "https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/about/press-room/state-of-ai-report-2026.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 51,
  "cat": "D. Value and returns",
  "value": "76%",
  "num": 76,
  "stat": "76% of enterprise AI use cases are bought rather than built in-house, up from 53% a year earlier; AI purchases reach production at 47%, against 25% for ordinary software.",
  "counts": "U.S. enterprise AI decision-makers.",
  "src": "Menlo Ventures",
  "doc": "2025: The State of Generative AI in the Enterprise",
  "date": "2025-12-09",
  "sample": "495 U.S. enterprise AI decision-makers at companies actively using AI tools, 7 to 25 November 2025",
  "place": "'Enterprises Are Buying More Than Building' and 'AI Buyers Convert at Higher Rates'",
  "quote": "Today, 76% of AI use cases are purchased rather than built internally",
  "url": "https://menlovc.com/perspective/2025-the-state-of-generative-ai-in-the-enterprise/",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 52,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "40%",
  "num": 40,
  "stat": "Gartner predicts that over 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by the end of 2027, citing cost, unclear value and weak risk controls.",
  "counts": "A forecast by an analyst firm, not a count of cancelled projects.",
  "src": "Gartner",
  "doc": "Gartner press release, 25 June 2025",
  "date": "2025-06-25",
  "sample": "Gartner analysis; the poll behind the release is the 3,412-attendee webinar poll",
  "place": "headline and first paragraph",
  "quote": "Over 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by the end of 2027, due to escalating costs, unclear business value or inadequate risk controls",
  "url": "https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-06-25-gartner-predicts-over-40-percent-of-agentic-ai-projects-will-be-canceled-by-end-of-2027",
  "verdict": "Quote it as a prediction. It is the most misquoted number in this field."
 },
 {
  "id": 53,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "130",
  "num": 130,
  "stat": "Gartner estimates only about 130 of the thousands of vendors calling their products agentic AI are real; the rest are 'agent washing' assistants, RPA and chatbots.",
  "counts": "Gartner's own estimate.",
  "src": "Gartner",
  "doc": "Gartner press release, 25 June 2025",
  "date": "2025-06-25",
  "sample": "Gartner analysis",
  "place": "fourth paragraph",
  "quote": "Gartner estimates only about 130 of the thousands of agentic AI vendors are real",
  "url": "https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-06-25-gartner-predicts-over-40-percent-of-agentic-ai-projects-will-be-canceled-by-end-of-2027",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as Gartner's estimate."
 },
 {
  "id": 54,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "40%",
  "num": 40,
  "stat": "Gartner predicts 40% of enterprise applications will include task-specific AI agents by the end of 2026, up from less than 5% in 2025.",
  "counts": "A forecast about software products, not about companies using agents.",
  "src": "Gartner",
  "doc": "Gartner press release, 26 August 2025",
  "date": "2025-08-26",
  "sample": "Gartner analysis",
  "place": "first paragraph and 'Stage 2'",
  "quote": "Forty percent of enterprise applications will be integrated with task-specific AI agents by the end of 2026, up from less than 5% today",
  "url": "https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-08-26-gartner-predicts-40-percent-of-enterprise-apps-will-feature-task-specific-ai-agents-by-2026-up-from-less-than-5-percent-in-2025",
  "verdict": "Do not mix it up with the other 40%: this one is about apps, that one is about cancellations."
 },
 {
  "id": 55,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "15%",
  "num": 15,
  "stat": "Gartner predicts at least 15% of day-to-day work decisions will be made autonomously by agentic AI by 2028, from 0% in 2024, and 33% of enterprise software will include agentic AI by then.",
  "counts": "Forecast.",
  "src": "Gartner",
  "doc": "Gartner press release, 25 June 2025",
  "date": "2025-06-25",
  "sample": "Gartner analysis",
  "place": "'Realizing Business Value'",
  "quote": "Gartner predicts at least 15% of day-to-day work decisions will be made autonomously through agentic AI by 2028, up from 0% in 2024",
  "url": "https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-06-25-gartner-predicts-over-40-percent-of-agentic-ai-projects-will-be-canceled-by-end-of-2027",
  "verdict": "Quote as a forecast."
 },
 {
  "id": 56,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "27%",
  "num": 27,
  "stat": "Trust in fully autonomous AI agents fell from 43% to 27% of organizations in one year.",
  "counts": "Large organizations, 2024 versus 2025.",
  "src": "Capgemini Research Institute",
  "doc": "Rise of agentic AI: How trust is the key to human-AI collaboration",
  "date": "2025-07-16",
  "sample": "1,500 leaders at director level and above, 14 countries, large organizations; 900 re-confirmed their adoption answer",
  "place": "Executive summary",
  "quote": "Only 27% of organizations express trust in fully autonomous AI agents, from 43% 12 months ago",
  "url": "https://www.capgemini.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Final-Web-Version-Report-AI-Agents.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; Capgemini reads it as experience replacing enthusiasm."
 },
 {
  "id": 57,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "15%",
  "num": 15,
  "stat": "Only 15% of business processes are expected to run semi- or fully autonomously within 12 months, rising to 25% by 2028.",
  "counts": "Executives' own expectations.",
  "src": "Capgemini Research Institute",
  "doc": "Rise of agentic AI: How trust is the key to human-AI collaboration",
  "date": "2025-07-16",
  "sample": "1,500 leaders at director level and above, 14 countries, large organizations; 900 re-confirmed their adoption answer",
  "place": "Executive summary",
  "quote": "in 12 months, only 15% of all business processes are expected to operate at Level 3 (semi-autonomous) to Level 5 (fully autonomous). This share is expected to grow to 25% by 2028",
  "url": "https://www.capgemini.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Final-Web-Version-Report-AI-Agents.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as an expectation."
 },
 {
  "id": 58,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "80%",
  "num": 80,
  "stat": "Fewer than one in five organizations report high data readiness for agents, and over 80% lack mature AI infrastructure.",
  "counts": "Large organizations' self-assessment.",
  "src": "Capgemini Research Institute",
  "doc": "Rise of agentic AI: How trust is the key to human-AI collaboration",
  "date": "2025-07-16",
  "sample": "1,500 leaders at director level and above, 14 countries, large organizations; 900 re-confirmed their adoption answer",
  "place": "Executive summary",
  "quote": "fewer than one in five organizations report high levels of data-readiness, and over 80% lack mature AI infrastructure",
  "url": "https://www.capgemini.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Final-Web-Version-Report-AI-Agents.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 59,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "21%",
  "num": 21,
  "stat": "Only 21% of companies planning agentic AI have a mature model for governing agents.",
  "counts": "Leaders involved in AI work, late 2025.",
  "src": "Deloitte AI Institute",
  "doc": "The State of AI in the Enterprise 2026: The Untapped Edge (press release and report page)",
  "date": "2026-01-21",
  "sample": "3,235 business and IT leaders across 24 countries and six industries, August to September 2025",
  "place": "press release",
  "quote": "only 21% of those companies report having a mature model for agent governance",
  "url": "https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/about/press-room/state-of-ai-report-2026.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 60,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "52%",
  "num": 52,
  "stat": "The most chosen way to manage agent risk over the next year is a human-in-the-loop model, picked by 52% of large U.S. companies: a person checks outputs but does not watch every action.",
  "counts": "Large U.S. companies, spring 2026, second quarter running.",
  "src": "KPMG",
  "doc": "AI Quarterly Pulse Survey, Q2 2026 (U.S.)",
  "date": "2026-06",
  "sample": "204 U.S. C-suite and business leaders at organizations with annual revenue of 1 billion dollars or more, 28 April to 25 May 2026",
  "place": "'Accountability and cost visibility'",
  "quote": "The top risk mitigation approach to AI agents in the next 6-12 months is 52% a \"human-in-the-loop\" model where a person validates outputs but does not oversee each agentic action or decision",
  "url": "https://kpmg.com/kpmg-us/content/dam/kpmg/corporate-communications/pdf/2026/AIPulseSurvey_Q2_FINAL.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 61,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "33%",
  "num": 33,
  "stat": "One-third of senior leaders (33%) cite limited understanding of usage costs as a key challenge in deploying agents; leaders with strong cost visibility are five times as likely to report a return (15% versus 3%).",
  "counts": "Global large organizations, spring 2026.",
  "src": "KPMG",
  "doc": "Global AI Pulse: Q2 2026 (press release)",
  "date": "2026-06-24",
  "sample": "2,145 C-suite and senior business leaders across 20 countries, 28 April to 25 May 2026, at organizations with annual revenue above 50 million dollars (the press release's About section sets a 100 million floor for its ten largest markets)",
  "place": "highlights",
  "quote": "One-third of leaders (33 percent) cite limited understanding of usage costs, as a key deployment challenge for AI agents",
  "url": "https://kpmg.com/xx/en/media/press-releases/2026/06/growing-adoption-signals-progress-as-cost-visibility-and-accountability-drive-ai-value.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 62,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "34%",
  "num": 34,
  "stat": "U.S. executives rank cybersecurity and cost as the top agent challenges (34% each); trust in agents for financial transactions is 20%, for data analysis 38%.",
  "counts": "U.S. executives, April 2025.",
  "src": "PwC",
  "doc": "PwC's AI Agent Survey",
  "date": "2025-05",
  "sample": "308 U.S. executives (C-suite 33%, VP 13%, director 54%), surveyed 22 to 28 April 2025",
  "place": "'3. People are the problem' and the trust paragraph",
  "quote": "respondents expressed the highest levels of trust in areas like data analysis (38%), performance improvement (35%) and daily collaboration with human team members (31%). But trust dropped sharply for higher-stakes activities like financial transactions (20%)",
  "url": "https://www.pwc.com/us/en/tech-effect/ai-analytics/ai-agent-survey.html",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 63,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "32%",
  "num": 32,
  "stat": "Quality is the top barrier to putting agents in production, cited by 32% of builders; 89% have monitoring in place but only 52% run evaluations.",
  "counts": "Agent builders.",
  "src": "LangChain",
  "doc": "State of Agent Engineering",
  "date": "2026-06-12 (page date when opened; survey fielded late 2025)",
  "sample": "over 1,300 professionals building AI agents: engineers, product managers, business leaders and executives",
  "place": "'Biggest barriers to production' and 'Observability for agents'",
  "quote": "Quality is the production killer, with 32% citing it as a top barrier",
  "url": "https://www.langchain.com/state-of-agent-engineering",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote among builders."
 },
 {
  "id": 64,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "25%",
  "num": 25,
  "stat": "CEOs say 25% of operational decisions are already made by AI without human intervention where rules can be written down, and expect 48% by 2030.",
  "counts": "CEOs' own estimates, early 2026.",
  "src": "IBM Institute for Business Value",
  "doc": "2026 CEO Study: Rewiring the C-suite (press release)",
  "date": "2026-05-04",
  "sample": "2,000 CEOs and equivalent leaders across 33 geographies and 21 industries, February to April 2026, with Oxford Economics",
  "place": "'As CEOs turn to AI-driven decisions, governance and controls become more critical'",
  "quote": "By 2030, surveyed CEOs expect 48% of operational decisions where consistency and guardrails can be codified will be made by AI without human intervention, compared to 25% today",
  "url": "https://newsroom.ibm.com/2026-05-04-ibm-study-ceos-are-reshaping-c-suite-roles-for-the-ai-era",
  "verdict": "Quote as CEOs' estimates."
 },
 {
  "id": 65,
  "cat": "E. Risk, trust, cost",
  "value": "64%",
  "num": 64,
  "stat": "64% of CEOs are comfortable making major strategic decisions based on AI-generated input; 76% of their organizations now have a Chief AI Officer, up from 26% a year earlier.",
  "counts": "CEOs, early 2026.",
  "src": "IBM Institute for Business Value",
  "doc": "2026 CEO Study: Rewiring the C-suite (press release)",
  "date": "2026-05-04",
  "sample": "2,000 CEOs and equivalent leaders across 33 geographies and 21 industries, February to April 2026, with Oxford Economics",
  "place": "key findings",
  "quote": "76% of surveyed organizations have a Chief AI Officer (CAIO) in 2026, up from just 26% in 2025",
  "url": "https://newsroom.ibm.com/2026-05-04-ibm-study-ceos-are-reshaping-c-suite-roles-for-the-ai-era",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 66,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "32%",
  "num": 32,
  "stat": "32% of organizations expect AI to cut their total workforce by 3% or more in the coming year; 43% expect little or no change; 13% expect growth.",
  "counts": "Expectations, not recorded cuts; across functions a median of 17% reported a decline in the past year while 30% expected one in the next.",
  "src": "McKinsey & Company",
  "doc": "The state of AI in 2025: Agents, innovation, and transformation",
  "date": "2025-11-05",
  "sample": "1,993 respondents in 105 nations, fielded 25 June to 29 July 2025, weighted by each nation's share of global GDP",
  "place": "'Expectations vary on AI's effect on workforce size', Exhibits 16 and 17",
  "quote": "32 percent predict an overall reduction of 3 percent or more, and 13 percent predict an increase of that magnitude",
  "url": "https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai",
  "verdict": "Quote as expectation; the recorded figure is far lower."
 },
 {
  "id": 67,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "2%",
  "num": 2,
  "stat": "AI-related employment decreases occurred in only 2% of U.S. firms between November 2025 and January 2026.",
  "counts": "Nationally representative Census data.",
  "src": "U.S. Census Bureau",
  "doc": "The Microstructure of AI Diffusion (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "date": "2026-04-15",
  "sample": "BTOS AI supplement, nationally representative, reference period Nov 2025 to Jan 2026 (working paper CES-WP-26-25)",
  "place": "abstract",
  "quote": "AI-related employment decreases are rare, occurring in only 2% of firms",
  "url": "https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2026/adrm/CES-WP-26-25.html",
  "verdict": "The recorded number, against the expected one above."
 },
 {
  "id": 68,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "82%",
  "num": 82,
  "stat": "82% of small businesses that use AI increased their workforce over the past year.",
  "counts": "Small businesses under 250 employees, self-reported.",
  "src": "U.S. Chamber of Commerce (with Teneo Research)",
  "doc": "Empowering Small Business: The Impact of Technology on U.S. Small Business, fourth edition",
  "date": "2025-08-18",
  "sample": "3,870 U.S. small businesses with fewer than 250 employees, surveyed online 6 to 26 June 2025",
  "place": "Introduction, key findings list",
  "quote": "82% of small businesses using AI increased their workforce over the past year",
  "url": "https://www.uschamber.com/assets/documents/20251621-CTEC-Empowering-Small-Business-Report-2025-v1-r10-Digital-FINAL.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote; it does not say AI caused the hiring."
 },
 {
  "id": 69,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "53%",
  "num": 53,
  "stat": "CEOs expect 29% of employees to need reskilling for a different role and 53% to need upskilling for their current one by 2028.",
  "counts": "CEOs' expectations.",
  "src": "IBM Institute for Business Value",
  "doc": "2026 CEO Study: Rewiring the C-suite (press release)",
  "date": "2026-05-04",
  "sample": "2,000 CEOs and equivalent leaders across 33 geographies and 21 industries, February to April 2026, with Oxford Economics",
  "place": "'Organizations are betting on people to drive AI success'",
  "quote": "respondents expect 29% of employees to require reskilling for a different role and 53% to need upskilling to perform their current role more effectively",
  "url": "https://newsroom.ibm.com/2026-05-04-ibm-study-ceos-are-reshaping-c-suite-roles-for-the-ai-era",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote as expectation."
 },
 {
  "id": 70,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "25%",
  "num": 25,
  "stat": "CEOs say only 25% of their workforce uses AI regularly, although 86% believe employees have the skills to work with it; 83% say AI success depends more on people's adoption than on technology.",
  "counts": "CEOs on their own companies.",
  "src": "IBM Institute for Business Value",
  "doc": "2026 CEO Study: Rewiring the C-suite (press release)",
  "date": "2026-05-04",
  "sample": "2,000 CEOs and equivalent leaders across 33 geographies and 21 industries, February to April 2026, with Oxford Economics",
  "place": "key findings",
  "quote": "Surveyed CEOs say only 25% of the workforce is using AI regularly as part of their job, despite 86% believing their employees have the skills to collaborate with AI",
  "url": "https://newsroom.ibm.com/2026-05-04-ibm-study-ceos-are-reshaping-c-suite-roles-for-the-ai-era",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 71,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "61%",
  "num": 61,
  "stat": "61% of organizations report rising employee anxiety about the effect of AI agents on their jobs, and over half believe agents will displace more jobs than they create.",
  "counts": "Large organizations' leaders.",
  "src": "Capgemini Research Institute",
  "doc": "Rise of agentic AI: How trust is the key to human-AI collaboration",
  "date": "2025-07-16",
  "sample": "1,500 leaders at director level and above, 14 countries, large organizations; 900 re-confirmed their adoption answer",
  "place": "Executive summary",
  "quote": "61% of organizations report rising employee anxiety about the impact of AI agents on their employment prospects, and over half believe AI agents will displace more jobs than they create",
  "url": "https://www.capgemini.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Final-Web-Version-Report-AI-Agents.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 72,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "67%",
  "num": 67,
  "stat": "Organizational factors such as culture, manager support and talent practices account for 67% of reported AI impact, individual factors 32%.",
  "counts": "Microsoft's analysis of its 20,000-worker survey.",
  "src": "Microsoft WorkLab",
  "doc": "2026 Work Trend Index Annual Report",
  "date": "2026-05-05",
  "sample": "20,000 knowledge workers who use AI at work, 10 countries, fielded by Edelman Data x Intelligence from 18 February 2026 to 7 April 2026 per the methodology section (two chart captions on the same page say to 20 April 2026), plus Microsoft 365 telemetry",
  "place": "'The job of every leader is to rearchitect work'",
  "quote": "organizational factors 9 like culture, manager support, and talent practices account for more than 2x the reported AI impact of individual factors like mindset and behavior (67% vs. 32%)",
  "url": "https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/work-trend-index/agents-human-agency-and-the-opportunity-for-every-organization",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 73,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "26%",
  "num": 26,
  "stat": "Only 26% of AI users say their leadership is clearly and consistently aligned on AI; 86% treat AI output as a starting point rather than an answer.",
  "counts": "Workers who use AI, 10 countries.",
  "src": "Microsoft WorkLab",
  "doc": "2026 Work Trend Index Annual Report",
  "date": "2026-05-05",
  "sample": "20,000 knowledge workers who use AI at work, 10 countries, fielded by Edelman Data x Intelligence from 18 February 2026 to 7 April 2026 per the methodology section (two chart captions on the same page say to 20 April 2026), plus Microsoft 365 telemetry",
  "place": "'The job of every leader is to rearchitect work' and 'AI lifts the ceiling on individual potential'",
  "quote": "Only one in four AI users surveyed (26%) say their leadership is clearly and consistently aligned on AI",
  "url": "https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/worklab/work-trend-index/agents-human-agency-and-the-opportunity-for-every-organization",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 74,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "36%",
  "num": 36,
  "stat": "Employees whose manager actively supports AI use are 1.7 times as likely to use it weekly; only 36% strongly agree their manager supports their team's AI use.",
  "counts": "U.S. employees in organizations that have implemented AI.",
  "src": "Gallup",
  "doc": "Global Indicator: Artificial Intelligence (workplace AI adoption tracker)",
  "date": "2026-05",
  "sample": "Gallup Panel, probability-based random sample of U.S. adults employed full or part time; figures as of May 2026",
  "place": "'Do Managers Support Employee Use of AI?'",
  "quote": "As of May 2026, nearly four in 10 employees (36%) in AI-integrating organizations strongly agree that their manager supports their team's use of AI",
  "url": "https://www.gallup.com/699797/indicator-artificial-intelligence.aspx",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote."
 },
 {
  "id": 75,
  "cat": "F. Jobs and people",
  "value": "20%",
  "num": 20,
  "stat": "Employment of software developers aged 22 to 25 has fallen nearly 20% from 2024.",
  "counts": "Stanford's summary of labor-market evidence; the one place job losses show up clearly so far.",
  "src": "Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI",
  "doc": "AI Index Report 2026, chapter 4 (Economy)",
  "date": "2026-04",
  "sample": "labor-market data summarized by the AI Index",
  "place": "Chapter highlights, item 7",
  "quote": "Employment for software developers ages 22 to 25 has fallen nearly 20% from 2024",
  "url": "https://hai.stanford.edu/assets/files/ai_index_report_2026_chapter_4_economy.pdf",
  "verdict": "Safe to quote with the age band."
 }
]